September 8th 2024
Here we sit. 5 months after The Halving. 2 months from the election. 4 months away from 2025.
This week, I looked back at my crypto journal to see what I was thinking at this exact moment during the last cycle - and it was SHOCKING. I wrote:
âDoesnât look like things will get as crazy as they did last cycleâ
Boy was I wrong.
But I can see why I thought that. Bitcoin was at ~$10,500. HALF the previous cycleâs $20k top. And that was the highest it had been all year.
Thatâs as if we were at $34k right now after bouncing around the $20âs all year long.
Can you imagine if that had happened? Sentiment would be in the trash. Weâd be down in the dumps like I apparently was.
Instead, this year we had the BTC ETF. It injected so much energy into the market that it triggered our muscle memory to believe it was time for alt szn. That The Cycle was coming early!
But itâs clearly not the time to be buying altcoins. Weâre way to early for that. And weâre being punished for it. The market is great at reminding us of our impatience.
I didnât buy my best performing altcoin until A FULL YEAR after the 2020 halving. Which would be April of next year. More on that next week.
To the moon đ â @GÎR฿Z Founder & Creator @ BitLift
âThe Cycleâ Update
Tick, tock. Here comes the next block. The Cycle continues.
Bitcoin is retesting itâs $1T market cap and sitting on the 50 week moving average. It feels scary out there, but no reason to panic. When the supply shock hits, and volume picks up, itâs off to the races.
The red bars below are a copy/paste of the previous cycle onward starting from the 3rd halving. Hard to believe thatâs possible. But it happened. And that was the least explosive cycle.
Crypto Podcast Snips
I listen to a ton of crypto podcasts and started bookmarking important moments using Snipd to share with you guys on Instagram, TikTok and YouTube.
Jonah Van Bourg: âWhatâs Bitcoinâs Product Market Fit?â
Nathaniel Eliason: âYou Should Avoid Crypto Copycatsâ
Jonah Van Bourg: âIs Blockchain Falling Short?â
Keep Up With Crypto
What Iâm reading, watching, sharing and keeping an eye on in crypto recently.
From the BitLift Discord:
@GERBZ:That wasn't fun to wake up to đ apparently a coinmarketcap glitch
@LeaW: Trying to buy buy buy. What was that about not taking holidays? Coinbase ac disabled for 1 month probably from trading in Mexico
@GERBZ: Ughh ~ yeah, I use a VPN for EVERYTHING. They won't even let you buy!? Or just not withdraw?
@LeaW: They made me re-verify my ID and then decided I was a risk and halted my trading for 1 mth. I can transfer it out but that's all.
@GERBZ: Update from Durov (CEO of Telegram)
@thejezzajc: For the first time, a client paid me in bitcoin today. Felt good. 𧥠đ
@GERBZ: You should frame it and put it on the wall
@thejezzajc: Well, he did it on-chain so I guess I could take a note of the block number! đ
@GERBZ:
@badjanitor: